Relegation: Youth have a 98.2% chance of relegation; the others were scared

The 2022 Brazil Cup is in its final stages and, with that, the battle for relegation to Serie B also heats up. At the moment, Juventude de Caxias do Sul is in a bad situation, with a 98.2% chance of falling, according to data from UFMG (Federal University of Minas Gerais).

In the last round, Juventude led by coach Umberto Louzer, drew at home with Fortaleza, and got more complicated. In this way, for the second year in a row in the elite The elite professional team is known for its second successive league title, thus almost being included in the relegation zone.

See below: Cruzeiro x Vasco; where the game of this Wednesday will be watched live (21) of Série B

Another with a high chance of relegation is Atlético Goianiense, who are coming off a 2-1 home defeat at Internacional. According to UFMG mathematicians, this probability is 95.7%, since the team is in the second to last position.

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Relegation scares other teams

Despite a 2-2 away draw with Athletico Paranaense, with one man down, Cuiabá was in a tough spot in Brasileirão. According to UFMG accountants, the current risk is 54.7%.

Then comes Coritiba, with a 54% chance, although it is outside the Z-4. And Avaí, which covers the relegation zone, has a 50.4% risk. This is because statisticians also take into account the difficulty level of the games.

See below: Copa do Brasil: Flamengo and Corinthians decide at Maracanã; see team title history

After them, the other teams have a chance to fall to Serie B. For example, Ceará has a 15.8% chance of falling, while rivals Fortaleza have an 11.8% chance of falling.

Currently, less than 10% are Red Bull Bragantino, with a 5.1% chance of relegation, Botafogo and São Paulo with 4.5% each and Santos with 3.9%. Goiás, América and even defending champion Atlético Mineiro still have a chance to drop down to Serie B, albeit by a long way.

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